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WSA-ENLIL+Cone Model For 2.0 AU with Completion Time: 2022-02-22T14:10Z

Model Inputs:
2022-02-17T21:53:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-54.0, Lat.=16.0, Speed=373.0, HalfAngle=31.0, Time21.5=2022-02-18T06:02Z
2022-02-18T18:12:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-39.0, Lat.=27.0, Speed=562.0, HalfAngle=25.0, Time21.5=2022-02-19T00:28Z
2022-02-19T10:23:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-33.0, Lat.=20.0, Speed=445.0, HalfAngle=45.0, Time21.5=2022-02-19T16:08Z
2022-02-19T17:48:00-CME-001 with CME Analysis: Lon.=-32.0, Lat.=-18.0, Speed=338.0, HalfAngle=30.0, Time21.5=2022-02-20T04:37Z

Model Outputs:
Earth Impact:
(Glancing Blow) Earth Shock Arrival Time = 2022-02-22T12:00Z (+- 7 hours)
Possible Kp index:
(kp)90=3
(kp)135=4
(kp)180=4

Other Location(s) Impact:
Solar Orbiter with estimated shock arrival time 2022-02-21T11:43Z
STEREO A with estimated shock arrival time 2022-02-22T10:44Z [PE: -7.3 hr]

Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_anim.tim-den.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_anim.tim-vel.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
Inner Planets Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Kp_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_PSP_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STA_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_STB_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Mars_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Merc_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_SolO_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Venus_timeline.gif
Timelines Link = http://iswa.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20220218_060200_2.0_ENLIL_CONE_Osiris_timeline.gif

Note :
Since this simulation was run on 2022-02-22, it does not show all of the CMEs starting at the ENLIL inner boundary of 21.5 Rs.

Submitted on 2022-02-22T14:29Z by Michelangelo Romano

No Notification has been sent for this activity yet.


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